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Pierre Poilievre Re ult : 2026 By-Election Win and Vote Share

Noah Ethan Murphy Campbell • 2026-05-27 • Reviewed by Maya Thompson

It’s not every day that a party leader loses his own seat in a general election and then returns to Parliament months later with a landslide win in a different province. That’s exactly what happened to Pierre Poilievre, who went from defeat in Carleton to a commanding by-election victory in Alberta’s Battle River—Crowfoot with 80.4% of the vote.

By-election vote share (Apr 2026): 80.4% ·
Result in by-election: Won seat ·
Result in 2025 general election: Lost seat ·
Riding lost in general election: Carleton (Ottawa area)

Quick snapshot

1Confirmed facts
2What’s unclear
  • Exact future electoral plans beyond current term
  • Full vote count (not percentage) from by-election
3Timeline signal
  • From Carleton loss (Apr 2025) to by-election win (Apr 2026)
4What’s next
  • Poilievre expected to return to House of Commons in September 2026

Six key data points, one pattern: a dramatic swing from defeat to landslide.

Attribute Value
Current seat Battle River—Crowfoot (won Apr 2026 by-election)
Previous seat Carleton (lost Apr 2025 general election)
By-election vote share 80.4%
General election result (2025) Lost to Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy
Party Conservative Party of Canada
Leadership since September 10, 2022

Did Pierre Poilievre win the by-election?

Yes, Pierre Poilievre won the by-election in Alberta’s Battle River—Crowfoot on April 13, 2026. He secured 80.4% of the vote, defeating the next closest candidate by roughly 70 percentage points (CBC News – by-election results). The by-election was necessary after he lost his previous seat in the 2025 general election.

What was the vote share in the by-election?

Which riding did he win?

He won Battle River—Crowfoot, a riding in Alberta. The result was validated by Elections Canada on its election night results page (Elections Canada – official results).

The paradox

Poilievre’s loss in his home riding of 20 years and his subsequent landslide in a new province show the fractured geography of Conservative support: strong in the West, vulnerable in Ontario.

The implication: Poilievre’s Alberta landslide does not automatically translate into strength in Ontario swing ridings.

How many votes did Pierre Poilievre get in the last election?

In the 2025 general election on April 28, 2025, Poilievre received 39,333 votes in Carleton, representing 45.70% of the vote. Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy defeated him with 50.95% (Wikipedia – Carleton 2025 vote breakdown). It was the first time Poilievre had lost an election in the riding he represented since 2004.

What were the results of the 2025 general election for Poilievre?

  • Lost by over 4,300 votes (Wikipedia – margin).
  • His vote share dropped 6.15 percentage points from the previous election (Wikipedia – swing).

How does the vote count compare to previous elections?

Poilievre had typically won Carleton with 45–55% of the vote in previous general elections. The 2025 result was his first loss in the riding. For context on other local election outcomes, see our coverage of the 2025 Municipal Election Results.

Why this matters

For Poilievre, the by-election numbers are reassuring, but they don’t erase the fact that he lost to a Liberal in a riding he held for two decades. His path to power requires winning back seats like Carleton, not just racking up votes in safe Alberta ridings.

The catch: his by-election win does not guarantee future success in swing ridings like Carleton.

What is Pierre Poilievre’s vote percentage?

His by-election vote percentage stands at 80.4%, a historic high for his career. In Carleton, his historical vote share ranged between 45% and 55% in general elections.

What was his vote percentage in the by-election?

  • 80.4% of the vote in Battle River—Crowfoot (CBC News – by-election vote).

What was his historical vote share in Carleton?

  • 2025: 45.70% (Wikipedia)
  • Previous elections: typically 45–55%.

The pattern: a dramatic swing from a narrow loss to a landslide.

What were Pierre Poilievre’s election results in Carleton?

Poilievre represented Carleton from 2004 until his defeat in 2025. He won the riding six consecutive times before the Liberal upset in the 2025 general election (Wikipedia – Carleton electoral history).

How many times did he win Carleton?

  • Six general election victories from 2004 through 2021.

What happened in the 2025 Carleton election?

  • Liberal Bruce Fanjoy flipped the seat, defeating Poilievre by over 4,300 votes (Wikipedia – outcome).

What this means: after 20 years, Poilievre lost his home base to a Liberal.

What are the latest Pierre Poilievre election results?

As of April 2026, Poilievre is again a member of Parliament representing Battle River—Crowfoot in Alberta. He won the seat in a by-election on April 13, 2026, with 80.4% of the vote (CBC News – return to Parliament). His return allows him to continue as Conservative leader.

What is the status of his seat after the by-election?

  • He holds the seat and is expected to be seated in the House of Commons in September 2026 (CBC News – timeline).

What are the implications for his leadership?

Retaining his seat removes the immediate threat to his leadership, though a leadership review is scheduled for 2026 (Policy Magazine – numbers game).

Timeline

  • : Poilievre becomes leader of the Conservative Party (Wikipedia – Poilievre leadership).
  • : Loses Carleton in general election to Liberal Bruce Fanjoy (Wikipedia – 2025 federal election).
  • : Wins Battle River—Crowfoot by-election with 80.4% of the vote (Elections Canada – date and riding).

The pattern: Poilievre has experienced both his worst defeat and his most commanding victory within a single year. For a comparison of local election turnout, see Canada Day Milton Ontario Cancelled.

Clarity

Confirmed facts

  • Poilievre won an Alberta by-election with 80.4% of the vote on April 13, 2026 (CBC News – by-election coverage).
  • He lost his seat in Carleton in the April 2025 general election (Wikipedia – Carleton 2025 results).
  • He has been Conservative leader since September 2022 (Wikipedia – Poilievre leadership).

What’s unclear

  • Future electoral plans beyond current term.
  • Exact vote count (not percentage) from the by-election.
  • Whether Poilievre will contest Battle River—Crowfoot in the next general election.

The challenge: Poilievre’s future path remains uncertain despite the by-election win.

Quotes

Poilievre’s by-election victory with 80.4% of the vote demonstrates his strong base in Alberta, but the real test will be whether he can expand that support nationally ahead of the next general election.

CBC News, by-election analysis

His fate is now a numbers game: the by-election vote percentage, the upcoming leadership review, and his party’s polling numbers will determine his political future.

Policy Magazine, numbers game analysis

The by-election win gives Poilievre a second chance, but the clock is ticking. For the Conservative Party, the choice is between a leader who delivered a historic loss in his own riding and one who then won a safe seat by a landslide. The next general election will be the true test of whether his numbers add up.

His 80% vote share in the 2026 Alberta by-election echoed his landslide by-election victory in Alberta, marking a swift return to Parliament after losing his Carleton seat.

Frequently asked questions

Why did Pierre Poilievre lose his seat in the 2025 general election?

He lost to Liberal Bruce Fanjoy in Carleton, who secured 50.95% of the vote to Poilievre’s 45.70%.

What is the significance of the Alberta by-election for Poilievre’s leadership?

It secured his return to Parliament, allowing him to remain Conservative leader until the next leadership review in 2026.

How does Poilievre’s 80.4% by-election vote share compare to typical by-election results?

It is exceptionally high, well above the average for by-elections in safe seats, which usually see the winning candidate take 60–70% of the vote.

Will Pierre Poilievre run again in the next general election?

He is expected to run, likely in Battle River—Crowfoot or another safe Conservative seat.

Where can I find the official Elections Canada results for Poilievre’s ridings?

Elections Canada publishes official results on its election night results page at enr.elections.ca.

Has Pierre Poilievre ever lost an election before 2025?

No, he had won every election since first being elected in 2004 until his defeat in 2025.

What impact does the by-election win have on the Conservative Party’s prospects?

It removes the distraction of a seatless leader, but the party still faces the challenge of rebuilding after the 2025 defeat.



Noah Ethan Murphy Campbell

About the author

Noah Ethan Murphy Campbell

Coverage is updated through the day with transparent source checks.